BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Fort Madison

Class: 3A Class Rank: 47 Conference: (6-4) Overall: (11-13) Overall Strength =   59.55

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 12/03/2004 Away    L    64.42  32   62   4A    1 (24- 2) Marion Linn-Mar         5.71 *  -35.71                      
  2 12/04/2004 Home    L    48.32  56   95   4A    5 (15- 8) CR Jefferson          -10.39 *  -28.61                      
  3 12/10/2004 Away    W *  62.18  74   59   3A   64 ( 3-20) Keokuk                  3.47     11.53                      
  4 12/11/2004 Away    W    60.48  65   53   1A   63 (15- 9) Notre Dame              1.78     10.22                      
  5 12/20/2004 Away    L    55.93  46   50   2A   57 (19- 5) Central Lee            -2.78     -1.22  home team had game has 02/15/05
  6 01/07/2005 Away    L *  52.24  35   53   3A   25 (14- 8) Mount Pleasant         -6.46    -11.54                      
  7 01/08/2005 Home    L    65.68  48   63   4A   17 (13- 9) CR Washington           6.97    -21.97                      
  8 01/14/2005 Home    L *  63.30  58   62   3A   19 (17- 6) Washington              4.59     -8.59                      
  9 01/18/2005 Away    L    64.76  44   50   4A   36 (10-13) Burlington              6.06    -12.06                      
 10 01/21/2005 Away    W *  55.03  55   53   3A   60 ( 7-15) Fairfield              -3.68      5.68                      
 11 01/24/2005 Away    W    71.72  56   42   1A   29 (16- 8) Fort Madison Aquinas   13.01      0.99  was 01/03/05 now 01/24/05
 12 01/28/2005 Home    W *  51.83  57   49   3A   64 ( 3-20) Keokuk                 -6.87     14.87                      
 13 01/29/2005 Away    W    57.31  56   53   EX   59 ( 1- 1) Kahoka Clark MO        -1.40      4.40                      
 14 01/31/2005 Home    L    59.04  62   74   4A   30 ( 9-14) Cedar Rapids Kennedy    0.33    -12.33  was 01/22/05 now 01/31/05
 15 02/05/2005 Home    L    60.08  47   78   4A    1 (24- 2) Marion Linn-Mar         1.37 *  -32.37                      
 16 02/11/2005 Home    W *  78.90  75   63   3A   25 (14- 8) Mount Pleasant         20.19     -8.19                      
 17 02/12/2005 Home    L    45.14  44   89   4A    3 (25- 1) Bettendorf            -13.57 *  -31.43                      
 18 02/15/2005 Home    W    50.42  54   51   2A   89 (15- 8) Danville               -8.29     11.29                      
 19 02/18/2005 Away    L *  57.64  56   69   3A   19 (17- 6) Washington             -1.07    -11.93                      
 20 02/19/2005 Home    W    70.04  81   62   4A   48 ( 0-22) Davenport West         11.33      7.67                      
 21 02/25/2005 Home    L *  47.68  67   69   3A   60 ( 7-15) Fairfield             -11.03      9.03                      
 22 02/28/2005 Home    W *  66.68  69   52   3A   60 ( 7-15) Fairfield               7.97      9.03                      
 23 03/03/2005 Neutral W *  54.50  64   55   3A   64 ( 3-20) Keokuk                 -4.20     13.20                      
 24 03/07/2005 Neutral L    45.66  43   70   3A   17 (12-13) Davenport Assumption  -13.04    -13.96                      
      Averages              58.71  56.0 61.5

Best game:   78.90 = 12 point win over Mount Pleasant
Worst game:  45.14 = 45 point loss to Bettendorf
Team stdev:   8.62